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14:32:08
SIGNAL
CBN holds MPR at 27.50% — naira reaction muted; T-bill yields drift 18bps lower
NG · ECONOMY
14:21:44
BRIEF
Obi–Kwankwaso alliance dynamics shift — NNPP backbench signals openness to LP merger framework ahead of 2027
NG · POLITICS
13:58:11
INTEL
Dangote Refinery secures 12 WTI cargoes for Q3 — feedstock diversification away from NUPRC allocations accelerates
NG · ENERGY
13:42:55
SIGNAL
South Africa Q1 GDP +0.4% q/q — mining and finance lead; manufacturing contraction extends to fourth quarter
ZA · ECONOMY
13:17:02
BRIEF
Imo State succession scenarios narrow — three viable APC paths emerge; PDP dynamics remain fragmented post-primaries
NG · POLITICS
12:49:31
INTEL
Kenya sovereign wealth framework draft circulating — Treasury proposes NSE-anchored vehicle with diaspora subscription tier
KE · CAPITAL
12:14:08
SIGNAL
Egypt T-bill yields steady at 27.8% — IMF tranche disbursement confirmed for Q3; FX backlog clears further
EG · ECONOMY
11:38:22
BRIEF
Ghana cocoa pricing review — COCOBOD producer-price formula revision under cabinet consideration ahead of 2026 season
GH · ECONOMY
8 signals · last 24h

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ELDR Intelligence · Vol. III72 Pages
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Nigeria 2027:
The Coalition Calculus

A 72-page strategic assessment of the Obi–Kwankwaso alliance dynamics, Imo State gubernatorial succession scenarios, and the structural conditions shaping Nigeria's 2027 general elections. Sourced data, scenario modelling, and investment-grade conclusions for institutional readers.

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Politics Issue №47

The Obi–Kwankwaso Question

A coalition that exists more in commentary than in mechanics. We map what would actually have to happen — and what each side gives up.

May 2 · 6 min Read →
Energy Issue №46

Dangote's Feedstock Pivot

Twelve WTI cargoes, four Brazilian, zero NNPC. The refinery's import strategy says more about Nigerian crude allocation than the balance sheet does.

Apr 25 · 7 min Read →
Economy Issue №45

CBN's New Equilibrium

The hold at 27.50% wasn't dovish — it was strategic. Three signals from the MPC communiqué that the headlines missed entirely.

Apr 18 · 5 min Read →
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Kenya's Sovereign Vehicle

A draft framework with a diaspora subscription tier. The structural choice tells you what Nairobi thinks the next decade looks like.

Apr 11 · 8 min Read →
Technology Issue №43

The Lagos AI Stack

Three local foundation-model efforts, two compute partnerships, one regulatory question that decides whether any of it matters by 2027.

Apr 4 · 9 min Read →
Politics Issue №42

Imo's Three Paths

Succession scenarios narrowed to three. Each one rewires the South-East power map differently — and only two are priced in.

Mar 28 · 7 min Read →
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Nigeria 2027: The Coalition Calculus
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Coalition mechanics, succession scenarios, and capital flow implications across three electoral paths.

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Vol. III
African Refining: The Post-Allocation Era
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Feedstock pipelines, NUPRC dynamics, and the capacity build-out reshaping continental refining margins.

96pp · Apr 2026 Acquire →
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Remittance trajectories, sovereign vehicles, and the diaspora subscription mechanics quietly redrawing African capital structure.

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